The Washington Post
reports what's been obvious for over a month now -- the Bush administration is slowly coming around to adopt the recommendations of the Iraq Study Group. With more intensive regional diplomacy, an increased willingness to entertain benchmarks for Iraqi performance, and emphasis on coordination between US and Iraqi forces, we're seeing those policies implemented, albeit in slow motion. Moreover, prominent Republican lawmakers are co-sponsoring a bill to make the recommendations of the Iraq Study Group official policy of the US government.
The question is whether Bush has missed the window to use the group's findings to save US political commitment to success in Iraq:
"The administration is sort of being slowly compelled to adopt the bipartisan consensus that the Iraq Study Group presented them in December," said James F. Dobbins, a Rand Corp. analyst and former U.S. diplomat who served on one of the expert working groups advising the panel. "Eventually they are going to be pulled to it regarding troop reductions."
The trouble, he said, is that by coming around so late, the White House may have missed the last opportunity to rally Congress to support staying in Iraq under more limited circumstances -- rather than simply pulling out. "They are going to end up embracing all the provisions, without the benefit of bipartisanship," Dobbins said.
I fear Mr. Dobbin's analysis is correct given growing recalcitrance on Iraq among the Democratic leadership, but I hope there's still time to forge a compromise position. The solution is for Bush to give a speech with the following message:
My fellow Americans, I come to you tonight to explain that the stakes in Iraq are higher than ever. I understand that there's a great deal of controversy over how and why we invaded Iraq and that many people are dissatisfied with the way this government's policy has been implemented. I understand your concerns, and I share many of them -- mistakes have been made, and as Commander-In-Chief, I take full responsibility for those mistakes -- but failure cannot be an option. Whatever your opinion of how we began this war and regardless of your opinion of me, the consequences are simply too grave for us to withdraw without creating a stable and secure Iraq that can stand on its own two feet.
First and foremost, it's a matter of national security. If our Iraqi mission fails, there will be dire consequences in the Middle East that will make us less safe. The risks of a failed state in the heart of the region are real. We cannot accept the expansion of Iranian influence at a time when they are pursing nuclear weapons. We cannot allow Al Qaeda to use Iraqi territory as a new training ground for terrorists. We cannot allow instability in Iraq to destabilize its neighbors Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Jordan, our allies all. These are all real possibilities, maybe even inevitabilities, should we fail.
Second, we must consider the suffering of the Iraqi people, and if we withdraw before finishing the job, there will be suffering on a monumental scale: civil war, ethnic cleansing, and massive dislocations of refugees. As a matter of morality and national honor, we cannot stand by and watch this happen to a people we have liberated. Former Secretary of State Colin Powell gave us good advice when he said, "If we break it, we own it." For better or worse, we're responsible for the outcome in Iraq, and it's time to redouble our efforts toward success.
As I've said before, mistakes have been made, and they weigh heavily on me as they do on our nation as a whole, and I take full responsibility. But there is still hope. The Iraqi people still long for the freedom they expressed when so many of them embraced democracy, voting in their first truly free elections. The Iraqi military is standing up with our help, and General Petraeus' plan is helping them stand up faster. This is a process that will take time, but those forces who ran in the first days are now standing to fight for their country, and we must stand with them until they can bear the burden themselves.
There is no shame in opposing this war, and it's not unpatriotic to have a different opinion. The free exchange of ideas is central to our own constitutional system, and I fully accept that many people strongly desire a change in policy. I recognize that there is growing dissatisfaction about how long things are taking in Iraq, and it was a mistake for me not to reach out sooner to ask you for more time, to call on you to sacrifice for this effort that is so vital to our national security. It was also a mistake for me not to have forged a bipartisan consensus on Iraq -- we are always stronger when we work together.
I am committed to rectifying those mistakes. I am committed to doing better by you, by the military that fights so valiantly, and by the Iraqi citizens who deserve a chance at a better life. It's time for us to set politics aside. As my first step toward that goal, I will immediately implement all of the recommendations of the bipartisan Iraq Study Group, and I ask the Congress to join me by passing those recommendations into law. I also ask the Congress to come together to forge a bipartisan compromise on the war funding supplemental that will allow our troops to have the support they need to finish their mission.
In particular, I endorse the Warner Amendment that ties Iraqi reconstruction aid to specific performance benchmarks. We must sacrifice to insure that our mission is a success, but it's only fair that we ask the Iraqis to do the same. This plan demands that the Iraqi government shoulder more of the burden while insuring that they receive the support they need in a timely fashion. The accountability that the plan provides is essential to our confidence that we have a partner in the process, but it doesn't stop there. The Warner Amendment also provides for additional congressional oversight and testimony from independent experts on Iraqi and US performance. I want you to have confidence in your government, as well.
This isn't a war without end. None of us wants that, me least of all. But if our history in Vietnam has taught us anything, it's that our proud military cannot be defeated in the field, but only at home. We cannot accept defeat, and I pledge to you to do my best to chart a new course that gives you confidence in the very real hope we have to secure Iraq and stabilize the heart of the Middle East. Thank you and God bless.